Frank J. Fahrenkopf, Jr. who is the president and CEO of the American Gaming Association and co-chairman of the Commission on Presidential Debates, predicts Obama's overwhelming victory. Yes, this is the commission which organises the presidential and vice-presidential debates. He has conducted 22 of them ever since.
Another prominent personality, Governor James Blanchard (pic) who is a former chairman of the Democratic Governors Association and a decorated diplomat predicted a big win for Obama too.
According to Governor Blanchard, economy is the biggest single issue in this election. Not national security. Not Iraq. National security is a key strength of McCain. Average Americans are worried about jobs, lay-offs and keeping their homes. Hence, most of them are looking for who can best manage their economy.
Clearly, the financial meltdown in Wall Street is not favouring McCain. Naturally, most Americans are blaming Bush for lack of urgency to arrest the problem when Lehman Brothers went under.
What went wrong for McCain? According to Governor Blanchard, there are several:
- Running mate; the selection of Sarah Palin has electrified the republicans. Many thought she is a reckless choice.
- Obama's performance in debates has helped to ease uncomfortable feeling over his lack of experience. He is identifies with change and a new dawn for many Americans.
- McCain pulling out of Michigan and many pundits thought this is sign of giving up and lack of fighting spirit
- Lack of response on Lehman Brothers collapsed
- National security is no longer a big issue.
- Young voters will remake US politics. Many of them are rallying behind Obama's campaign
On the CNN, it appears that both McCain and Palin camps are fighting each other openly. It gives a perception that the team is not cohesive compared to a compact Obama campaign.
Many of the pundits and analysts are bedazzled with Obama's charisma and presence. They called him a unique politician. An orator and not just a speaker.
According to Bill Nichols of Politico, in nearly 30 years every variables seem to favour the Democratic Party. He said Obama should win but is cautious anything can happen.
A reader wants to know why the business community is supporting Obama. He has collected more money from the business community compared to any candidates. I managed to ask the speakers. They said the business community tends to support a likely winner.
Obamania is really sweeping US like a wild fire. Can he be stopped? According to the speakers, yes. If there is an incident which threatens national security it may force American voters to rethink their choice. Apparently, the terrorists would prefer a hawkish president such as Bush to help keep them in business.
Can Obama make it? Or will McCain pip him from behind? Stay tuned!